Ethan Mollick: Meta and xAI Are Falling Behind, Leaving Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic on the Path to Recursive Self-Improvement
The Wharton professor argues that failures by Meta and xAI to maintain competitive parity mean recursive AI self-improvement — if it arrives — will likely come from just three labs.
Ethan Mollick published a pointed assessment of the AI competitive landscape on Sunday, arguing that Meta and xAI have failed to maintain parity with the leading frontier labs. As @emollick wrote, "The failures of both Meta and xAI to maintain parity" combined with stalling progress from Chinese open-weight efforts means that "recursive AI self-improvement" is "likely by a model from Google, OpenAI and/or Anthropic." The post drew 745 likes and over 114,000 views.
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